BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Forest City
Class: 3A Class Rank: 45 Conference: (11-3) Overall: (13-10) Overall Strength = 57.47
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 12/02/2003 Away L 49.23 55 79 3A 10 (19- 6) Webster City -8.23 -15.77
2 12/05/2003 Away L 71.49 64 65 3A 12 (24- 3) Cresco Crestwood 14.03 -15.03
3 12/12/2003 Away L * 48.94 51 52 2A 94 (10-12) Belmond-Klemme -8.52 7.52
4 12/19/2003 Away W * 41.30 45 42 1A 105 ( 5-18) Mason City Newman -16.17 19.17
5 12/20/2003 Away L 43.31 53 58 3A 61 ( 2-20) Estherville LC -14.16 9.16
6 01/05/2004 Home W * 62.04 56 41 1A 55 (12-10) North Iowa 4.58 10.42 recheduled from 12/16/03
7 01/06/2004 Away L * 48.10 42 55 2A 52 (19- 5) Lake Mills -9.36 -3.64
8 01/09/2004 Home W * 64.04 50 30 2A 98 ( 8-12) Britt West Hancock 6.57 13.43
9 01/10/2004 Home W 64.99 63 59 3A 28 (12- 9) Clear Lake 7.52 -3.52
10 01/16/2004 Away W * 44.90 40 35 2A 115 ( 2-18) Garner-Hayfield -12.56 17.56
11 01/17/2004 Away L 63.68 44 45 3A 29 (13-10) Charles City 6.22 -7.22
12 01/23/2004 Home W * 56.02 62 52 2A 94 (10-12) Belmond-Klemme -1.44 11.44
13 01/24/2004 Away L 50.36 45 57 3A 41 (11-11) Algona -7.11 -4.89
14 01/27/2004 Home W * 68.68 54 39 2A 69 (13-10) Osage 11.21 3.79
15 01/30/2004 Away L * 42.96 49 57 1A 55 (12-10) North Iowa -14.50 6.50
16 02/06/2004 Home W * 67.18 63 53 2A 52 (19- 5) Lake Mills 9.72 0.28
17 02/10/2004 Away W * 68.96 64 43 2A 98 ( 8-12) Britt West Hancock 11.49 9.51
18 02/13/2004 Home W * 46.98 51 40 2A 115 ( 2-18) Garner-Hayfield -10.48 21.48
19 02/17/2004 Home W * 81.38 81 34 1A 105 ( 5-18) Mason City Newman 23.91 23.09
20 02/20/2004 Away W * 62.60 59 54 2A 69 (13-10) Osage 5.13 -0.13
21 02/24/2004 Away L 61.10 58 65 4A 37 (10-13) Mason City 3.64 -10.64
22 03/01/2004 Home W 61.99 61 60 3A 28 (12- 9) Clear Lake 4.52 -3.52
23 03/04/2004 Neutral L 51.47 40 54 3A 22 (19- 5) Perry -5.99 -8.01
Averages 57.47 54.3 50.8
Best game: 81.38 = 47 point win over Mason City Newman
Worst game: 41.30 = 3 point win over Mason City Newman
Team stdev: 10.86